Newsroom

December 17, 2014

FOMC to stay current course, no change in rates

The Federal Open Market Committee announced Wednesday at the close of its two-day meeting that it will stay its current monetary policy course and added that it can be "patient" in deciding when to begin normalizing policy.

In a press conference following the close of the FOMC meeting, Fed Chair Janet Yellen made clear that the committee "considers it unlikely to begin the normalization process for at least the next couple of meetings." The FOMC is planning to meet twice in the first quarter of 2015, with the third meeting scheduled for late April.

Yesterday's FOMC statement represents a slight change from the one in October, which indicated the Fed could keep its 0 to 0.25 percent target range for the federal funds rate for "a considerable time" following the wrap-up of the asset purchasing program.

"As expected, the FOMC changed the forward guidance in their statement, but they did so in the most benign way possible," NAFCU Chief Economist and Director of Research Curt Long said. "It's clear that a lack of inflation is the biggest obstacle preventing a rise in the federal funds rate. Nevertheless, 15 of the 17 FOMC participants expect a rise in rates by the end of 2015."

The Fed will maintain its existing policy of reinvesting principle payments from its holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities and of rolling over maturing Treasury securities at auction. The Fed will also keep the federal funds rate target at a range of 0 to 0.25 percent.

The FOMC said inflation has continued to run below the Fed's long-run objective, but the panel expects inflation to rise gradually toward 2 percent as the labor market improves further and the transitory effects of lower energy prices and other factors dissipate, Long noted. For more details, see Wednesday's NAFCU Macro Data Flash report.