Consumer prices increase 0.1% in July; overall CPI up 1.7%

August 11, 2017

Consumer prices increase 0.1% in July; overall CPI up 1.7%

Overall consumer prices (seasonally adjusted) increased 0.1 percent in July following no change in June, according to a data analyzed in a NAFCU Macro Data Flash report Friday.Year over year, the overall consumer price index rose 1.7 percent, up from 1.6 percent in June.

Energy prices edged down 0.1 percent in July following a 1.6 percent decrease in June. From a year ago, energy prices were up 3.4 percent. Food prices rose 0.2 percent in July following flat growth in June. On a year-over-year basis, food prices were up 1.1 percent.

Core prices (excluding food and energy costs) increased 0.1 percent in July compared to the previous month. Year-over-year core CPI growth remained at 1.7 percent.

"Consumer prices edged up in July according to data published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics," said NAFCU Chief Economist and Vice President of Research Curt Long. "However, there is still little sign of inflationary pressure. While food, shelter, apparel and medical care costs rose, CPI was held down by a continuing decline of vehicle, communication and energy costs."

Personal consumption expenditure inflation — the Federal Reserve's preferred measure — slowed for the fourth consecutive month in June to 1.4 percent.

"Despite the weak readings recently, the Fed will still likely begin its balance sheet normalization in September. However, a December rate hike is less likely unless inflation strengthens in the coming months," Long said.

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