Newsroom

August 06, 2018

157K jobs added in July; Fed on track to raise rates next month

Jobs report for July 18NAFCU Chief Economist and Vice President of Research Curt Long noted that Friday's jobs report – with 157,000 jobs gained in July – keeps the Federal Reserve on course to raise interest rates next month.

"The July labor report showed employment gains that, when combined with upward revisions to prior months, remained on trend,” said Long. “Wage growth was subdued once again and is barely keeping up with inflation. Overall, the report did little to change perceptions that the labor market is tight but has yet to begin overheating, and it keeps the Fed on track for a rate hike next month.”

The unemployment rate ticked down to 3.9 percent in July as the labor force expanded by 105,000 workers.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) – the monetary-policy setting arm of the Federal Reserve – left the federal funds target rate at 1.75 percent to 2 percent during its meeting earlier this month. The FOMC’s next two-day monetary policy meeting is set for Sept. 25-26.

In other report data, private-sector payroll employment increased 170,000 jobs during July. The goods-producing sector increased 52,000 jobs, while the service sector increased 118,000 jobs. Public sector employment decreased 13,000 from the prior month.

Average hourly earnings increased 7 cents to $27.05 in July. Over the last 12 months, wages are up 2.7 percent. Since 2009, year-over-year wage growth has averaged just 2.3 percent.