Newsroom
Fed holds rates; NAFCU doesn't expect rate hike prior to 2024
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Wednesday maintained the federal funds target rate near its current range of 0 to 0.25 percent. The committee noted it will run the economy above 2 percent inflation, stating they "aim to achieve inflation moderately above 2 percent for some time so that inflation averages 2 percent over time and longer‑term inflation expectations remain well anchored at 2 percent."
During his post-meeting press conference, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell stressed that the committee is not likely to taper or otherwise alter the mix of asset purchases for the foreseeable future.
“The FOMC’s March statement was nearly unchanged from the prior iteration and contained no indication that tighter policy is on the committee’s radar," said NAFCU Chief Economist and Vice President of Research Curt Long in a new Macro Data Flash report. “Despite a markedly better forecast, highlighted by 6.5 percent real GDP growth this year, the majority of FOMC participants still do not expect liftoff prior to 2024.
“This is consistent with the committee’s new average inflation target (AIT) framework and serves to support the commitment to allow inflation to run hot for a time prior to any rate hikes,” added Long.
Of note, the committee’s Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) showed seven of 18 members anticipate raising rates by 2023, up from five in December. Only four members expect liftoff to occur in 2022.
“Despite conditions that, under the old framework, would have at least introduced the possibility of rate hikes in 2022 or early 2023, the committee is intent on conditioning markets to align their expectations with the new AIT framework,” Long concluded. “As a result, NAFCU still does not expect a rate hike prior to 2024.”
More insights from the meeting can be found in the new Macro Data Flash report. The FOMC is expected to meet next April 27-28; its tentative meeting schedule for 2020 can be viewed here.
Share This
Related Resources
Resiliency In Your Incident Response Plan
Cybersecurity
preferred partner
DefenseStorm
Blog Post
The Bottom Line on Insurance Tracking and Collateral Protection
Strategy
preferred partner
Allied Solutions
Blog Post
Add to Calendar 2024-04-15 09:00:00 2024-04-15 09:00:00 Mergers and Acquisitions: Unifying Two Different Executive Total Compensation and Benefits Programs Listen On: Key Takeaways: [03:50] With the merger of a smaller credit union into a larger one you are really only dealing with integrating staff into the larger credit union. [05:53] When working with a merger of equals we start with a deep dive into the executive compensation and benefits of each organization. [09:09] If your current executive benefits provider doesn’t conduct regular plan evaluations, consider having a plan audit anyway. [13:46] Don’t overpay for these things if you don’t have to. When you have more options available that means the cost is more appropriate. [17:11] It is in a unified organization’s best interest to do tier timelines where we look at your top executives who are critical to the unified organization’s success today and then slowly add in the next levels. Web NAFCU digital@nafcu.org America/New_York public
Mergers and Acquisitions: Unifying Two Different Executive Total Compensation and Benefits Programs
preferred partner
Gallagher
Podcast
Add to Calendar 2024-04-11 14:00:00 2024-04-11 14:00:00 Regulation E: Impacts Across Your Institution Dive into regulatory excellence with, Regulation E: Impacts Across Your Institution. This webinar is tailored to empower you with the knowledge and strategies necessary to effectively implement the Electronic Funds Transfer Act (EFTA) and Regulation E within your operations. You’ll explore how to apply Regulation E across various business areas to ensure compliance obligations are met with precision. Key Takeaways Learn the basics of EFTA and Regulation E Understand how to apply Regulation E at your organization to detect processes and transactions that require Regulation E compliance Discover how Regulation E may apply to a large breath of areas in your institutions and functions for which you may rely on third-party vendors Review recent enforcement activity for non-compliance with EFTA and Regulation E Register Now $295 Members | $395 Nonmembers(Additional $50 for USB)One registration gives your entire team access to the live webinar and on-demand recording until April 11, 2025Go to the Online Training Center to access the webinar after purchase » Who Should Attend NCCOs NCRMs Compliance and risk titles Education Credits NCCOs will receive 1.0 CEUs for participating in this webinar NCRMs will recieve 1.0 CEUs for participating in this webinar Web NAFCU digital@nafcu.org America/New_York public
Regulation E: Impacts Across Your Institution
Credits: NCCO, NCRM
Webinar
Get daily updates.
Subscribe to NAFCU today.